Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.568974 1.835788 2.113782 2.423427 2.757143 3.104555 3.492165
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.111617 1.471752 1.871072 2.339687 2.868144 3.439970 4.100062
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.860304 1.257048 1.718324 2.279960 2.932612 3.656174 4.508674
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.678081 1.095222 1.603180 2.242881 3.005968 3.869366 4.903666
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.570952 1.008047 1.561774 2.278389 3.150746 4.152988 5.368318
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.473770 0.919506 1.507530 2.288994 3.258592 4.388237 5.773083
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.377613 0.817726 1.425062 2.255055 3.304993 4.545295 6.081999
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.348160 0.809100 1.463224 2.372127 3.534806 4.919097 6.644369
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.323754 0.804390 1.504271 2.491259 3.766218 5.294478 7.208818
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.306214 0.807928 1.555191 2.622370 4.012231 5.687556 7.794818
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.295860 0.821644 1.619650 2.771050 4.280464 6.107992 8.414222
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.269408 0.804026 1.636669 2.854626 4.465126 6.426361 8.911809
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.222284 0.746412 1.596664 2.866534 4.567351 6.656213 9.319706
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.162904 0.653399 1.496533 2.791507 4.555210 6.744960 9.558856
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.115750 0.570937 1.403804 2.719653 4.541276 6.826525 9.784697
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.083094 0.509379 1.337871 2.680682 4.566395 6.953230 10.062135
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.066282 0.482063 1.326415 2.719237 4.694050 7.208457 10.496876
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.049315 0.447148 1.298487 2.731195 4.784343 7.415465 10.871794
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.031394 0.397858 1.239895 2.693606 4.804688 7.531607 11.133094
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.029514 0.407364 1.290133 2.822912 5.055326 7.943965 11.763485
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.027905 0.417456 1.341487 2.954184 5.309131 8.361015 12.400564
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.027281 0.431706 1.400944 3.098379 5.581376 8.802501 13.068990
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.027946 0.452006 1.472319 3.261547 5.880546 9.279421 13.782516